Most card rankings — ours included — assume you'll get typical value from points: transfer them to a partner now and then, book travel, pay attention. Plenty of people never will, and there is nothing wrong with that. A statement credit you actually redeem beats a stash of points you don't.
So this page re-runs the entire ranking with one honest change: every point is valued at its cash-out floor — what you get pressing the "redeem for statement credit" button, no transfer-partner upside. Under that rule the famous points cards fall hard, and the winners are cards most travel articles never mention.
Key insight
Valued at the cash-out floor, Amex Gold — a top-three card under typical point value — goes NEGATIVE on this wallet: about -$32/yr, because Membership Rewards cash out at roughly 0.6 cents and the full $325 fee stays. Sapphire Preferred drops to ~$266/yr. Meanwhile Blue Cash Preferred wins at ~$461/yr — its 6% at supermarkets is already cash — followed by the no-fee flat-2% pair, Citi Double Cash and Wells Fargo Active Cash, at ~$437/yr each. The lesson: point-card rankings silently assume effort you may never spend. If you know you'll press the cash-back button, buy cash-back rates, and the no-fee 2% cards are nearly unbeatable per dollar of simplicity.